From The Dung Heap
An analytical look at The Dons & our opponents
Livingston - Pittodrie
SPFL Premiership- 16/3/2019
Goals
As the song goes, here we go. A chance to get our home form back on track.
Goals
As the song goes, here we go. A chance to get our home form back on track.
Aberdeen at home
Goals for: 1.67
Goals against 1.28
xG for: 1.51
xG against: 0.90
Livi away
Livi away
Goals for: 0.81
Goals against 1.29
xG for: 1.03
xG against: 1.48
Not as cut and dry as I'd thought on this front. Our xG totals in the previous games have been 1.25-1.53
in the gave atAlmondvale The John Penne The Davy Conchiglie The Tony Macaroni Arena and a much more convincing in xG but still just a goal in it 3.24-0.27 at Pittodrie. 2 really disappointing goals to give away in that one. All of the goals we've lost to Livi have been defensive mishaps actually. The one away from home being the McKenna passback straight out of Alex McLeish's playbook, the first at Pittodrie Considine misjudges the header back to Lewis and both McKenna and Considine play their man onside by not holding the line for the latter.
These things happen, but it's probably better keeping them for tough wins against Livi in the league than European finals against Real Madrid eh Alex?
The goals they have lost seem to be coming from balls from the wide areas being put into the box. I feel like I'm saying this time and again. (When I wrote this opening sentence I had only planned to watch a few of their recent goals before not really noticing a theme... Oh how wrong was I?)
Shaugnessy for St Johnstone. Bit of pinball from a corner and it falls to him 6 yards out. Gift.
Flynn for St Mirren. A bit of the same but good play on the wing and a parried shot by the keeper gave Flynn a tap in 6 yards out.
`I'm noticing a theme... Nelson for Dundee. 6 yard line. Header. Beautiful wing play from Wright (loan) and an exquisite cross puts it on a plate.
Scott Wright (loan) wonder free kick. I'm sure we've all seen it from those snarky Dons fans. "If he can dee this then fit's he deein oot on loan? If only we hid 'at idday!"
For fucks sake Livi, get your act together. Cross. Header 6 yards out. Hastie. Motherwell. Goal.
Lovely through ball for Curtis Main to chip the keeper. maybe 8 yards out. I'll let them off with this one because it was good build up play.
No tap in for Hastie this time. Seals it with some silky play on the left side from a monsterous throw from the keeper. Brilliant counter, leaves two defenders on their arse and smashes it under the keeper.
That bastards from Ibrox scored 3. Hoachy deflection, Morelos saved from 6 yards out (haha! Everyone else fucking managed to score from there) and Kent scored from the rebound, then Morelos scored on a counter. Sorry for that bit.
Murray Davidson. Cross. Header. 6 yard line.
Ryan Porteous. Cross. Header. 6 yard line.
Jones for St Mirren. Cross. Header. 6 yard line.
No... I'm not fucking joking! Honestly!
I've stopped 3 times now because I've thought surely there can't be any more.
Greg Stewart... Corner... Header... 6 yard line...
Greg Stewart... COUNTER ATTACK! Thank Christ for that! Dribbles through and scores from just inside the box.
Candeias... 5 yards out from a corner. Come on to fuck!
Morelos beezer from just inside the box (sorry)
Oh and Arfield. Cross from Morelos and poked home 6... yards... from... goal...
Another counter attack. Bloomfield this time for Hamilton. Fires home from just inside the box.
I feel like I'm cheating a bit by adding this one but it's scored from 6 yards out by Kennedy from a Tony Watt cross. Not your typical wing play and it's on the counter but there's just no marking at all. Gallagher decides running into the net is more important than sticking with the only cunt that can possibly score.
Bowman scores a counter attack.
Horgan scores from, yes, around 6 yards after a bit of a stramash in the box.
Our goals have come through:
Down there. You guessed it. 6 yard line. James Wilson. Shot from Ball turned in.
Then Deano scored with his (can I mention a young boy like his unmentionables or am I going to end up on some kind of list?) let's say chest.
At Pittodrie
Crossgrove sets up McGinn on the penalty spot
Oh would you look at that. A cross from McLennan along the 6 yard line. Cosgrove dunts the underside of the bar and it's in.
Deep cross from a McGinn corner, it looks like it's the keeper's. NO WAIT HE'S DROPPED IT ON THE FUCKING 6 YARD LINE AND LEWIS FERGUSON HAS SCORED FROM 6 YARDS OUT!! Beautiful overhead kick under pressure though. Nae quite Burnley but stick at it loon!
Heaven's above! I've just looked through all the goals that Livi have lost under Holt. Life? Hah! Who needs one?!
15 goals they've lost from pissing distance from the 6 yard line. 5 from counter attacks. and 7 others.
15 of 27 ~ the 6 yard line. What a fucking shambles. Get it sorted Holt or I'm coming for your job!
Tactics
They seem to randomly ping between 5-3-2 and 4-2-3-1. Both games against us they've played the 4-2-3-1 so I can only assume they'll go down the same route again.
Away from home they went with 5 at the back against Hearts, St Johnstone, Dundee, Hibs, Hamilton, Motherwell and Hearts.
and 4 at the back against St Mirren, Motherwell, Aberdeen, Killie and at Ibrox.
It seems a tad scattered but a few of the 5-3-2 lineups came at the start of the season so maybe it was something Holt grew out of. I've also discounted the one at Parkhead that Kenny Miller was in charge for.
Did they really think that was a good idea? Kenny fucking Miller? I'm sure that gave people in all walks of life false hope that they too could get a job they were totally incabable of doing!
Passmaps
Almondvale 2-1
Really cramped, lumping balls to Cosgrove which was our most frequent successful pass (12), tried a 3-4-3 but it never really worked. The wide players rarely got the ball from the centre backs and there was a lack of build up play. Shinnie managed to work the ball to the wings 10 times with Wright and McLennan getting the ball 5 times but you're not going to get enough of the ball in the juicy parts of the pitch if that's all you're getting.
Pittodrie 3-2
Pittodrie 3-2
I'm struggling... There's not much that resembles a formation here. Lumps to Menga and outwith balls to and from the keeper they've only really managed links between Halkett and Pittman in both games (6 and 5) and Lawless and Gallagher which they could do all day and not really damage us with the positions they were in. So passes through the middle seem to be what they've tried against us and it doesn't seem to have paid dividends surprisingly considering how close the games have been going by the scoreline.
So yeah. This should be simple. Let the wingers and the full backs drag the back 4. Stick Sam Cosgrove on a pole 6 yards from goal like a table football player and we'll win by about 20 goals!
15 from 27... Jesus.
Not as cut and dry as I'd thought on this front. Our xG totals in the previous games have been 1.25-1.53
in the gave at
These things happen, but it's probably better keeping them for tough wins against Livi in the league than European finals against Real Madrid eh Alex?
The goals they have lost seem to be coming from balls from the wide areas being put into the box. I feel like I'm saying this time and again. (When I wrote this opening sentence I had only planned to watch a few of their recent goals before not really noticing a theme... Oh how wrong was I?)
Shaugnessy for St Johnstone. Bit of pinball from a corner and it falls to him 6 yards out. Gift.
Flynn for St Mirren. A bit of the same but good play on the wing and a parried shot by the keeper gave Flynn a tap in 6 yards out.
`I'm noticing a theme... Nelson for Dundee. 6 yard line. Header. Beautiful wing play from Wright (loan) and an exquisite cross puts it on a plate.
Scott Wright (loan) wonder free kick. I'm sure we've all seen it from those snarky Dons fans. "If he can dee this then fit's he deein oot on loan? If only we hid 'at idday!"
For fucks sake Livi, get your act together. Cross. Header 6 yards out. Hastie. Motherwell. Goal.
Lovely through ball for Curtis Main to chip the keeper. maybe 8 yards out. I'll let them off with this one because it was good build up play.
No tap in for Hastie this time. Seals it with some silky play on the left side from a monsterous throw from the keeper. Brilliant counter, leaves two defenders on their arse and smashes it under the keeper.
That bastards from Ibrox scored 3. Hoachy deflection, Morelos saved from 6 yards out (haha! Everyone else fucking managed to score from there) and Kent scored from the rebound, then Morelos scored on a counter. Sorry for that bit.
Murray Davidson. Cross. Header. 6 yard line.
Ryan Porteous. Cross. Header. 6 yard line.
Jones for St Mirren. Cross. Header. 6 yard line.
No... I'm not fucking joking! Honestly!
I've stopped 3 times now because I've thought surely there can't be any more.
Greg Stewart... Corner... Header... 6 yard line...
Greg Stewart... COUNTER ATTACK! Thank Christ for that! Dribbles through and scores from just inside the box.
Candeias... 5 yards out from a corner. Come on to fuck!
Morelos beezer from just inside the box (sorry)
Oh and Arfield. Cross from Morelos and poked home 6... yards... from... goal...
Another counter attack. Bloomfield this time for Hamilton. Fires home from just inside the box.
I feel like I'm cheating a bit by adding this one but it's scored from 6 yards out by Kennedy from a Tony Watt cross. Not your typical wing play and it's on the counter but there's just no marking at all. Gallagher decides running into the net is more important than sticking with the only cunt that can possibly score.
Bowman scores a counter attack.
Horgan scores from, yes, around 6 yards after a bit of a stramash in the box.
Our goals have come through:
Down there. You guessed it. 6 yard line. James Wilson. Shot from Ball turned in.
Then Deano scored with his (can I mention a young boy like his unmentionables or am I going to end up on some kind of list?) let's say chest.
At Pittodrie
Crossgrove sets up McGinn on the penalty spot
Oh would you look at that. A cross from McLennan along the 6 yard line. Cosgrove dunts the underside of the bar and it's in.
Deep cross from a McGinn corner, it looks like it's the keeper's. NO WAIT HE'S DROPPED IT ON THE FUCKING 6 YARD LINE AND LEWIS FERGUSON HAS SCORED FROM 6 YARDS OUT!! Beautiful overhead kick under pressure though. Nae quite Burnley but stick at it loon!
Heaven's above! I've just looked through all the goals that Livi have lost under Holt. Life? Hah! Who needs one?!
15 goals they've lost from pissing distance from the 6 yard line. 5 from counter attacks. and 7 others.
15 of 27 ~ the 6 yard line. What a fucking shambles. Get it sorted Holt or I'm coming for your job!
Tactics
They seem to randomly ping between 5-3-2 and 4-2-3-1. Both games against us they've played the 4-2-3-1 so I can only assume they'll go down the same route again.
Away from home they went with 5 at the back against Hearts, St Johnstone, Dundee, Hibs, Hamilton, Motherwell and Hearts.
and 4 at the back against St Mirren, Motherwell, Aberdeen, Killie and at Ibrox.
It seems a tad scattered but a few of the 5-3-2 lineups came at the start of the season so maybe it was something Holt grew out of. I've also discounted the one at Parkhead that Kenny Miller was in charge for.
Did they really think that was a good idea? Kenny fucking Miller? I'm sure that gave people in all walks of life false hope that they too could get a job they were totally incabable of doing!
Passmaps
Almondvale 2-1
Pittodrie 3-2
That was the chalk, here comes the cheese. Lovely 4-2-3-1 with Ferguson getting forward to help out. The wingers getting the ball? Logan to McLennan 14 times. Pisses all over the shitshow at The <name> <pasta> Arena. Lowe got the ball to Cosgrove 7 times compared to the 5 he managed with McGinn so I'm assuming McGinn was man marked. Opens up space and Cosgrove gladly picks it up in a dangerous area. Looking back at the passes that happened twice and the rest were lumps up the park... Good work by McGinn making runs once deep and once down the wing to open up the space though, and good awareness by Cosgrove to exploit it.
Almondvale 2-1
15 from 27... Jesus.
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